Well this is not a sure thing, but many many journalists and media sources are either directly or indirectly hinting that Obama might announce his choice for Vice President before the Olympics, the reason for choosing this time is that the media will be focused on the Olympics and the only other time to do that is on the convention. So to take the attention of the media a number of journalists are predicting that it would be on Wednesday, some even predict who it will be, and the name I am reading and hearing a lot these past few days is Evan Bayh the Indiana Senator.
Although I have been following the news carefully on TV, Newspapers and Online Political Blogs, nothing was as accurate and as straightforward as the article I read on the Huffington Post on the 4th of August where Bil Browning states why he predicts that Obama will be announcing his VP on Wednesday and why it will be Bayh. I think the most powerful reason he states is when he wrote:
“I just got an invite from the Obama campaign to attend an appearance on Wednesday that isn’t on Obama’s official calendar. Why not? The campaign said, “I can’t tell you what the event is about, but we want to make sure you have a ticket so you can cover it for the Bilerico Project. We want Bilerico Project to be there for this one.”"
I think Evan Bayh is a good choice for many reasons, and a bad choice for many many reasons too. One of the most obvious reasons why he might be a good choice is ofcourse the chance in turning Indiana blue in November, another reason could be that he was a Clinton supporter, but I think one of many reasons why he is a bad choice is the fact that he was PRO-WAR, and he is a Conservative who was an honorary co-chair of the neocon pro-war Committee For the Liberation of Iraq, with McCain !?!?! Many might debate how Conservative bayh is, but in the end of the day he is a conservative who was with McCain in the Iraq Liberation Committee, what can be said more than that?
So although the scenario depicted by the media is PERFECT and MAKES SENSE, the CHOICE is sort of BAD. Just saying… lets wait and see.
We know she cant do it, the media know it, The experts know it, she knows it. It is not doable, she is waiting for a miracle, she is waiting for some unusual big thing to happen, because now even if she is asking to seat Florida and Michigan delegates she still wont get it.
She is so desperate her website now directly redirects to the donations page!! I donno who in his right mind would bid on a broken horse? She is still in it, til the end.
I know, you are sick of this, I am not an American and I cant vote and and and ……. and I am pissed that this thing is still going on. I find it weird, very weird that she is still not dropping out.
People ask me why I follow the American elections, and I tell them, have you seen what happened in the past 8 years ?!
Although I hate to admit it, the world, and I mean the WORLD is effected by who gets to be the president of USA.
The WORLD does not need this kind of president:
The WORLD needs a smart, well educated, DEMOCRATIC President. A President that knows when to use diplomacy effectively, and how to solve problems without quickly reaching to military action.
So we know that Hillary is old news, we know she is playing in the injury time, and she cant do anything.
So my advice to all who are refreshing reddit over and over and over again, and to all who is visiting all sort of news sites, blogs, to all who has the TV fixed on a news channel, don’t wait, don’t waste your time, it wont happen. Not now, maybe when all the states vote, maybe, but who knows maybe she will fight all the way. And by doing that she is hurting herself and her party.
This MEMO was sent by the Campaign manager David Plouffe to Superdelegates, basically stating that the only way to win the nomination is by the number of delegates won.
As I said before, I guess that Barack Obama has locked the nomination. We will be seeing number of Superdelegates endorsing him and within days it will become official.
And that is why I really think Hillary is going to give up today and not tomorrow, she is lending her campaign money million after million and yesterday she must have realized that there is no hope in winning this. If she stays and keep lending money to her campaign she will be only hurting herself and her party.
Read the MEMO after the jump….
There are only six contests remaining in the Democratic primary calendar and only 217 pledged delegates left to be awarded. Only 7 percent of the pledged delegates remain on the table. There are 260 remaining undeclared superdelegates, for a total of 477 delegates left to be awarded.
With North Carolina and Indiana complete, Barack Obama only needs 172 total delegates to capture the Democratic nomination. This is only 36% of the total remaining delegates.
Conversely, Senator Clinton needs 326 delegates to reach the Democratic nomination, which represents a startling 68% of the remaining delegates.
With the Clinton path to the nomination getting even narrower, we expect new and wildly creative scenarios to emerge in the coming days. While those scenarios may be entertaining, they are not legitimate and will not be considered legitimate by this campaign or its millions of supporters, volunteers, and donors.
We believe it is exceedingly unlikely Senator Clinton will overtake our lead in the popular vote and in fact lost ground on that measure last night. However, the popular vote is a deeply flawed and illegitimate metric for deciding the nominee – since each campaign based their strategy on the acquisition of delegates. More importantly, the rules of the nomination are predicated on delegates, not popular vote.
Just as the Presidential election in November will be decided by the electoral college, not popular vote, the Democratic nomination is decided by delegates.
If we believed the popular vote was somehow the key measurement, we would have campaigned much more intensively in our home state of Illinois and in all the other populous states, in the pursuit of larger raw vote totals. But it is not the key measurement. We played by the rules, set by you, the DNC members, and campaigned as hard as we could, in as many places as we could, to acquire delegates. Essentially, the popular vote is not much better as a metric than basing the nominee on which candidate raised more money, has more volunteers, contacted more voters, or is taller.
The Clinton campaign was very clear about their own strategy until the numbers become too ominous for them. They were like a broken record , repeating ad nauseum that this nomination race is about delegates. Now, the word delegate has disappeared from their vocabulary, in an attempt to change the rules and create an alternative reality.
We want to be clear – we believe that the winner of a majority of pledged delegates will and should be the nominee of our party. And we estimate that after the Oregon and Kentucky primaries on May 20, we will have won a majority of the overall pledged delegates According to a recent news report, by even their most optimistic estimates the Clinton Campaign expects to trail by more than 100 pledged delegates and will then ask the superdelegates to overturn the will of the voters.
But of course superdelegates are free to and have been utilizing their own criteria for deciding who our nominee should be. Many are deciding on the basis of electability, a favorite Clinton refrain. And if you look at the numbers, during a period where the Clinton campaign has been making an increasingly strident pitch on electability, it is clear their argument is failing miserably with superdelegates.
Since February 5, the Obama campaign has netted 107 superdelegates, and the Clinton campaign only 21. Since the Pennsylvania primary, much of it during the challenging Rev. Wright period, we have netted 24 and the Clinton campaign 17.
At some point – we would argue that time is now – this ceases to be a theoretical exercise about how superdelegates view electability. The reality of the preferences in the last several weeks offer a clear guide of how strongly superdelegates feel Senator Obama will perform in November, both in building a winning campaign for the presidency as well as providing the best electoral climate across the country for all Democratic candidates.
It is important to note that Senator Obama leads Senator Clinton in superdelegate endorsements among Governors, United States Senators and members of the House of Representatives. These elected officials all have a keen sense for who our strongest nominee will be in November.
It is only among DNC members where Senator Clinton holds a lead, which has been rapidly dwindling.
As we head into the final days of the campaign, we just wanted to be clear with you as a party leader, who will be instrumental in making the final decision of who our nominee will be, how we view the race at this point.
Senator Obama, our campaign and our supporters believe pledged delegates is the most legitimate metric for determining how this race has unfolded. It is simply the ratification of the DNC rules – your rules – which we built this campaign and our strategy around.
Yesterday Barack Obama won big in North Carolina, he smashed clinton by more than 15 points. While in Indiana Clinton was a able to have a modest 2 points win over Obama. So In NC Obama wins 56% to 42% for Hillary and in Indiana Clinton wins 51% to 49% to Obama.
Bottom line Obama has even more delegates now than ever, he needs less than 300 delegates to lock the nomination, she needs to win 80% of the upcoming delegates, which as we know is impossible.
Everybody knows it was all over for Hillary months ago, but the media just wanted to keep the competition alive so they would have something to do. Have panels, interviews, polls, projections and discussion after discussion after discussion.
But I promise all of the media that they will be very busy in the general election, and after November they will go back to cover Paris Hilton and Britney Spears showing their stuff.
“With leads like this now, if you throw in Michigan and Florida, as is, then Obama would still have about 150,000 votes and he would still have 100 delegates, pledged delegate, lead.” – Chuck Todd
Tim Russert delivered the bottom line effectively: “We now know who the democratic nominee is going to be and no one is going to dispute it”
“Some were saying that North Carolina would be a game-changer in this election. But today, what North Carolina decided is that the only game that needs changing is the one in Washington, DC” – Barack Obama
Here is Barack Obama’s speech after the win in North Carolina:
And you can just feel in his speech that he has fully switched now to the General Election mode, he know that whatever is going to happen he is the nominee and therefor he will start to focus on McCain.
Logically, today we are seeing infront of our eyes, the new President of USA. That is if the dems does not screw it up.
Well this is not a sure thing, but many many journalists and media sources are either directly or indirectly hinting that Obama might announce his choice for Vice President before the Olympics, the reason for choosing this time is that the media will be focused on the Olympics and the only other time to do that is on the convention. So to take the attention of the media a number of journalists are predicting that it would be on Wednesday, some even predict who it will be, and the name I am reading and hearing a lot these past few days is Evan Bayh the Indiana Senator.
We know she cant do it, the media know it, The experts know it, she knows it. It is not doable, she is waiting for a miracle, she is waiting for some unusual big thing to happen, because now even if she is asking to seat Florida and Michigan delegates she still wont get it.
